Two weeks ago, we couldn’t help but discuss the impressive move out of the silver/gold ratio, pointing to risk appetite in the precious metals space.
Now, gold’s crazy little cousin is pressing up against new 52-week highs.
Just check out the chart of BlackRock’s Silver ETF $SLV rallying into this key inflection point near 23:
Not only does this level coincide with the 52-week highs proceeding a seven-month consolidation, it also represents the 62% Fibonacci retracement of this three-year range.
Make no bones about it, this is a critical level we’re watching in silver right now.
Should we see buyers continue to push the metal higher above this level, it would confirm a breakout.
Above 23.10, we like SLV long with a target at the former highs of 27.40.
But it doesn’t just stop there; let’s plan ahead into the future.
With gold again flirting with all-time highs, we’re on the cusp of a new bull market in precious metals.
In a world where silver goes on to hit our initial target of 27.40, we’ll like the setup even more than we do...
All four names we outlined in last week’s Gold Rush Video have triggered buy signals.
The tide appears to swing in favor of the gold bugs.
And, based on Monday’s bullish price action, perhaps it’s just the beginning.
Check out the next gold miner most likely to break loose…
Eldorado Gold $EGO is carving out a classic inverted head-and-shoulders pattern:
Risk is well-defined at the neckline, highlighted by a series of former highs.
This former resistance level reveals a significant supply zone that’s capped higher prices and subdued overzealous gold bugs since early 2021.
But that all changes on a break to new multi-year highs.
I’m long EGO on a daily close above 12.25, with an initial target of 16.50 and a secondary objective just beyond the next extension level at approximately 25.
I adjusted my longer-term aim based on the critical polarity zone coinciding with the 2016 peak:
The difference between the two levels is negligible. And I want to give precious metal mining stocks plenty of room to run.
But, based on last week’s price action, gold’s crazy cousin may have slipped into party mode…
Check out silver bouncing higher relative to gold:
The entire precious metals space – and interested bystanders worldwide – have eagerly awaited such a display of relative strength.
Why?
Silver outperforming gold indicates a burgeoning risk appetite for these neglected rocks. Precious metals of all colors and densities benefit from increased flows into silver-related assets.
It’s a risk-on gauge for precious metals. Now, the question turns to whether gold will complement silver’s advance.
Both metals were higher Tuesday, as gold nears a critical shelf of former highs at approximately 2,016:
That’s our level.
The path of least resistance points toward the former all-time highs if and when gold breaks above the October peak.
It remains a sideways mess until a decisive upside resolution.
It sways to its own beat, enticing and intoxicating even the insular traveler.
Incidentally, I was engulfed by the city’s rhythm as I attended a family wedding last weekend.
And it was wild!
I danced with family and friends and sipped bubbles at sunset in Key Biscayne straight through to the early morning hours along South Beach.
But this old dog would never have made it to dawn without my wife’s crazy cousins.
They displayed an appetite for reckless abandon that gold longs to witness from its own crazy cousin…
Silver!
Gold wants to party like a rock star until the wee hours as it twists and turns toward a new all-time high.
Unfortunately, silver doesn’t want to dance.
Check out gold futures overlaid with the silver-to-gold ratio:
The silver-to-gold ratio can’t find its feet. Instead, it remains glued to a shelf of former lows.
Silver needs to make its way to the dance floor if gold has any chance of reaching a new high. But silver must not only participate, it must take the lead.
Precious metals bulls have plenty to be excited about.
Major headwinds have abated as rallies cool in real yields and the dollar.
Gold futures are trading above their former commodity supercycle peak.
And the yellow metal is printing new all-time highs priced in every significant currency except the US dollar.
Even mining stock stocks are breaking out!
Check out Alamos Gold $AGI ripping to a new five-month high:
AGI has been on my radar since January. It provided an excellent trade during the spring.
Now, Alamos is flashing another buy signal, reclaiming a critical shelf of former highs outlined last month.
I like AGI long toward 20 provided it’s trading above 13.
AGI isn’t the only mining stock rewarding buyers right now. It’s just one of the strongest – buy the strongest, sell the weakest.
We’ve also discussed Sandstorm Gold $SAND and Kincross Gold $KGC. Both trades are shaping up well.
SAND is holding above our risk level, while KGC hit a new 52-week high last Friday (I still need to see a decisive close above 5.75 before buying KGC).
But, today, I want to focus on gold as a currency in light of a series of new all-time highs versus fiat overseas.
Gold priced in euro terms closed last week at its highest level in history.
The new all-time highs follow a breakout from an 18-month consolidation within an ongoing uptrend – an uptrend that commenced in March 2020.
I expect another leg higher for gold priced in the euro and the British pound.
Check out gold versus the pound:
Gold priced in GBP resembles the gold/EUR chart, just not as clean.
Gold completed a decade-long base versus the pound in the spring of 2020. And like gold priced in US dollars, it consolidated for over two years.
The main difference: Gold priced in USD continues to contend with overhead supply while the path of least resistance leads higher for gold priced in British pounds.
It’s the same story for the Japanese yen.
Before you start throwing tomatoes, here’s what’s not making new highs versus...
Gold and silver are pushing higher after posting potential failed breakdowns earlier this month.
If the October lows mark a critical inflection point – and it’s still a big “if” – the following three names will be ripping above our risk levels…
First up is a $5B gold mining company headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
This is Alamos Gold $AGI:
AGI provided profits in the spring, launching it to “fan-favorite” status.
I like betting on past winners, bullish momentum, and strength. Alamos Gold checks all those boxes.
I’m buying a break above 13, targeting 20 in the coming 3-6 months.
I also like buying strength in Kinross Gold $KGC, a $6.5B gold mining company also operating out of Toronto:
KGC recently posted a new 52-week high. Few gold mining stocks can tout comparable strength as many names sunk to fresh multi-year lows during the first week of October.
The absolute and relative strength has my full attention.
I’m long KGC above 5.75, targeting 11.50 in the coming 4-6 months.
The third name isn’t as strong as the first two. But momentum is improving, and our risk is well-defined. If we’re...
One day of buying pressure doesn’t change the situation with precious metals.
Gold bugs were out in full force Friday, driving gold and silver to impressive gains that would excite even the least devout among them.
But don’t get your hopes up…
Precious metals stopped falling at a logical level of support.
Good, old-fashioned price memory triggered a standard response – nothing magical.
More importantly, nothing bullish.
Check out a custom index equally weighting gold, silver, and platinum:
The index is clinging to the lower bounds of a multi-year range as it retests its year-to-date lows, creating a logical place for buyers to support price across multiple timeframes.
Beneath the surface: Platinum hit a fresh 52-week low, while gold and silver fell roughly 1% and 3% last week, respectively.
It’s not upbeat data, failing to entice a long position at these levels.
Gold futures also hit the brakes at a potential support zone last week:
Gold slid into a critical retracement level, registering its lowest 14-day RSI...